The New Normal

This year’s presidential election cycle has been anything but ordinary. Both parties have nominated candidates that have very low national popularity ratings. Donald Trump’s speeches and interviews cause controversy and the general public cannot seem to trust Hillary Clinton.

So who’s going to win?

The New York Times is reporting that Clinton only has a two-point lead over Trump. To put this into perspective, in 2012,  Obama was only ahead of Romney by 3 points.

FiveThirtyEight is predicting that Clinton has 70% chance of winning the election based on data from state polls and predicted electoral votes

This election’s true battleground states are Iowa, Florida, Nevada, North Carolina, and Ohio. In total these states carry seventy-three electoral votes. In order for a candidate to win the electoral college, they must secure two-hundred and seventy electoral votes.

If Trump were to win all six of the previously mentioned battleground states, he still would be short of the needed two hundred and seventy electoral votes.

What’s new?

This weekend marked the fifteenth anniversary of the 9/11 attacks. Hillary Clinton attended a 9/11 memorial service at ground-zero and was forced to leave early when she fell ill. The Clinton campaign later released that Clinton was diagnosed with bacterial pneumonia and would be canceling her trip to California. The Trump campaign has been quick to question whether Clinton is healthy enough to be president. New polls should reveal whether Clinton’s pneumonia diagnosis will have an effect on her numbers