Nevada, the silver state, is home to around 2.7 million people. Of this massive population, many will be voting in the upcoming presidential election. Demographically speaking Nevada is mainly Caucasian and Hispanic. In past years, because of the republican parties outlook on immigrant policies, the state has voted for Barack Obama in 2012 and 2008. However, candidates always spend good chunks of time in the state fighting to win over the large population of politically unaffiliated newcomers to the state.
When looking at the election outcomes since 1984, one notices a pattern; a political party hasn’t held it’s reign within the state for more than two presidential terms before switching parties. Following that pattern, since Obama won the vote of the state in 2008 and 2012, this year the state would change their course and vote in favor of the Republicans. Only time will tell if this pattern has any merit to it.
In recent years the democratic and republican votes have not led over the other candidate any larger than 15%. In 2012, the Democratic Party won 52.4% to 45.7%. In 2008, the Democratic Party won 55.1% to 42.7%. In 2004, the Republican Party won 50.7% to 48.1%. The history of this state indicates that this race is going to be a close one.
The RCP poll average as of September 11th, shows Clinton at 43.4 and Trump at 41.8. Only leading by 1.5 Hillary Clinton is managing to stay ahead. Both republicans and democrats will be going head to head to win over the 6 electoral votes Nevada has to give. Nothing can be certain until November 8th, but until then I will be providing weekly updates about political news in the state of Nevada.