Maine is one of two states, the other being Nebraska, in the nation that splits its electoral votes. Maine provides four votes to the electoral college. The popular winner of the entire state receives two votes and one vote is allocated from each congressional district.
Maine voted for Republican candidates until 1992, when the state flipped and has been voting for a Democratic candidate in the elections following. This could be the first year that the state does not vote overwhelmingly toward one candidate.
The 1st district, located in the southern part of the state, has a population of about 679,000 people, while the 2nd district, the remainder of the state has a population of about 657,000. If you look at the map above, you can see how compact the 1st district is compared to the 2nd.
The current House member of the 1st district is Chellie Pingree (D) who won the seat in 2008 and is seeking reelection this year. The current House member of the 2nd district is Bruce Poliquin (R) and seeking re-election against former Senator Emily Cain (D). Just by looking at the congressional races, it’s notable how polarized the state has become in the past few years. To add, Governor LePage has been described as a racist in the state, has received backlash from many citizens, has been threatened with impeachment, and has indirectly endorsed Donald Trump.
A new poll from a Colby College-Boston Globe survey, shows Clinton leading the state overall by a small margin of 3%. In the 2nd Congressional district, Trump leads Clinton by 10 points. Predictions show Clinton taking 3 Electoral Votes, while Trump takes 1. However, Governor LePage has predicted Trump taking 3, while Clinton takes only 1. Maine’s predictions offer us a bigger look at the entire nation. What we knew in the past as safe partisan sates voting the same each year could all change this November.
Stay tuned for more polls and elections results.