According the real clear politics, the polling data as of October 4th puts Hillary Clinton in the lead in Nevada by +.08. Those figures reference Nevada as a whole, but our focus is still fixated on the millennial voters of the state.
This is a topic of interest largely because Nevada is home to immense numbers of young voters. Certain states are singled out because of the young voter capacity to sway the election. According to an article on NPR.org, the Silver State falls within their top ten.
When addressing millennials, voter turnout always comes to mind. One of the biggest problems facing candidates is physically getting the younger generation to go to the polls and vote. Nevada is notorious for a low youth turnout in elections, and their lack of involvement leads some people to think their voice is insignificant in politics.
However, being that Nevada is a swing state, the young vote is vitally important. The Las Vegas Review Journal gives us more insight on the perspective of new voters with a more thorough breakdown of the polls filtered demographically.
According to polls taken on October 1st, both candidates received more negative feedback than positive. When polling for favorability, 37% saw Hillary Clinton as favorable and 29% Donald Trump. For unfavorable, Clinton got 43% and Trump 48%.
Yet upon closer examination we see that voters between 18-34 and 35-49 favor Hillary Clinton and voters between 50-64 and 65+ lean in favor of Donald Trump.
With the polls in Nevada fluctuating, whoever has the lead can change from day to day. In fact, the polls are so close they are currently considered statistically tied since +.08 is within the margin of error, explained in this short video.
With the evidence is in front of us we can conclude that the outcome of Nevada this November will be heavily influenced by whether or not millennials vote.
Said best by Anthony Williams, “We’re almost beyond the point of convincing anyone to change their mind, and we’re pretty soon getting to the point where it’s all about turnout”.