Not surprisingly, Hillary Clinton still leads Donald Trump by 6 percentage points in Virginia. Both campaigns have made a push for victory in the last two days before the election.
Just last night, Trump rallied in Leesburg, VA, in Loudoun County, which started after midnight and continued much later than expected. It was his fifth event of the day, and he stayed on message from other rallies he had held in places like Minnesota, Iowa, and Michigan previously. He touched on things like the FBI’s re-investigation of Clinton, claiming that there was no way the FBI could review the emails so quickly. He said, “You can’t review 650,000 new emails in eight days. You can’t do it, folks.”
Senator Tim Kaine also plans to speak in Northern Virginia and Richmond today, where Vice President Joe Biden will join him at George Mason University in NoVA. This all comes as part of the plan to make sure the Clinton campaign secures an already blue-leaning NoVA.
Clinton has the upper-hand with women and millennials, whereas Trump wins with white men. Clinton especially wins with NoVA, and many African-Americans are coming out for her. Trump does well with men in the southern and southwestern part of the state, in rural areas.
Going back to the 2008 election, NoVA had the highest political turnout, holding 33% of the statewide vote. So applying what we know about NoVA, which is that the area leans to the left and is heavily populated in comparison with the rest of the state, we can predict that Clinton will win Virginia if Northern Virginians come out to vote.