Well, my prediction in a previous post was off. If one recalls, I had predicted that North Carolina would go to Hillary Clinton. I figured it would be close but Trump was able to pull out a respectful margin in this battleground state.
Donald Trump won 50.5% of the vote compared to Hillary Clinton’s 46.7%. As one can imagine, Clinton won the counties with large percentages of African Americans and those located in the major cities.
Analysts suggest that the reason for Trump’s victory is because of a decrease in voter turnout for Hillary Clinton. The Daily Yonder, a website dedicated to rural issues, shows that Hillary Clinton’s performance in rural areas decreased from President Obama’s showing in 2012. Also, her percentage in large metropolitan areas was decreased from Obama’s 2012 nationwide victory overall too. These two factors ultimately lead to her downfall, not just in the Tar Heel state, but nationwide as well.
While hindsight is 20/20, Trump’s significant, early on win in North Carolina on election night suggested that Clinton was going to fare worse than expected. The core of the Democratic base just did not turn out for Hillary like they did for Obama in 2008 and 2012 and this cost her the election. A sense of complacency had taken over the Clinton camp and I believe her campaign started to take things for granted.
Still considered a battleground state, North Carolina will be in the news again next presidential election cycle as candidates from both parties will be back. One will just have to wait to see how much the ever-changing demographics will affect future elections.